Earlier this year I re-posted 7 things that will drive future church growth, which was the third in a series of posts I wrote looking at the future of the church and the need to Reimagine our Methodology (check out the links to Part 1 and Part 2 also).
In the third post I shared a link to Doug Paul’s free ebook: 10 Church Predictions for the Next 10 Years that may shed some light on what the future could hold as we navigate the coming days post Covid lockdowns.
In May 2021 Sermon Central posted ten traits that they see in the healthiest churches ten years from now which you may also find interesting:
- They have the same pastor they did ten years ago.
- The pastor, staff, and church members have a decade of calling to the local community.
- The church will be as diverse as the community.
- The church will have responded to its international mission field in its own backyard for ten years.
- The church will have had a consistent and strategic outward focus for a decade.
- All new members the past ten years will have attended a new members’ class.
- The church will have seen the cultural changes of the decade as opportunities rather than threats.
- At least 80 percent of the worship attendance will have moved to a small group over the decade.
- At least 50 percent of the attendance will have invited at least four people to church each year.
- Every year for ten years these churches will have become more joyous and fun.
Now all of these are great traits to have in the local church and I’m sure that we can each add to the above list others that resonate with us.
In fact many books and articles have been written about what constitutes a healthy church and how we too can get them. I’ve been a student of church growth for over 25 yrs and have a small number on my own bookshelf 🙂
And this does not include the many e-books, articles and posts that I have stored both on my computer and in my filing cabinet. I’ve come to appreciate the likes of Carey Nieuwhof, Thom S. Rainer, Wayne Cordeiro, Doug Paul, Andy Stanley, Rick Warren, Frank Damazio, Bill Hybels, Craig Groeschel, Ron Martoia, Dave Mann amongst many others, that have each in one way or another contributed to my learning and development in this space.
Also, as noted in a recent post entitled “Can we learn from another time” I’m about to embark on a Church Mobilisation Journey through North.South Aotearoa with some Corps (churches) within The Salvation Army, in which we will explore ways that they can look to effectively reach out to their local communities and engage with our ever-changing society.
Over the years however, I have also come to acknowledge and appreciate the enormous amount of work being done by Natural Church Development and in particular the eight essential qualities (characteristics) of healthy churches.

The following qualities have been found, when developed within churches, to have a positive affect not only in numerical growth, but also spiritual health, over subsequent years regardless of denominational affiliations.
- Empowering leadership
- Gift-orientated ministry
- Passionate spirituality
- Functional structures
- Inspiring worship services
- Holistic small groups
- Need-oriented evangelism
- Loving relationships
The thing is, there is no single factor which leads to overall growth in churches;
it is the interplay of all the above eight characteristics. We need to look to develop and increase our effectiveness in each of these areas so that we can better reach the people in our communities that need what only the church can offer – True Hope!

If you’d like to know more about Church Mobilisation, Natural Church Development, or even Natural Character Development (which I’ve recently been trained in the area of inspiration) drop me a line via email or leave a comment below 🙂

Sociologists C. Kirk Hadaway and Penny Long Marler reported in their 2005 Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion that “over the past 30 to 40 years, denominations had increasingly reported a decline in their numbers“.
This year as we continue to live in a world that doesn’t know from one moment to the next if we are going to be going back to some form of normality, I am reminded of the need to embrace the change, and accept that we are going to be living in a very fluid time.
I say this because things are not going to necessarily be the same as we strive to comprehend what ‘new thing‘ God is doing in our communities and as we move to impact them with Christ’s message of life and hope – How church will look will very different to what they were just a few short years ago.
In the latest edition of The Officer (A quarterly magazine for Officers of The Salvation Army) the General (Brian Peddle) asks; “‘Who knew’ what opportunities the digital world would offer?”
So, what does the ‘next normal’ look like? I see…

Sociologists C. Kirk Hadaway and Penny Long Marler reported in their 2005 Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion that “over the past 30 to 40 years, denominations had increasingly reported a decline in their numbers“.
In 



